Friday, 27 April 2007

1 Less is more

An article from the Observer about ‘ASBO families’ http://observer.guardian.co.uk/magazine/story/0,,2059265,00.html . This article reminded me of the families I used to visit as a social worker. The stories had a familiar and candid feel to them. I’m sure living next door is eventful, if not stressful. However, I also recall that the ‘failing’ families I would visit, both the adults and children, were often more rounded and warm-hearted human beings than many of my local authority work colleagues. In truth, I often found their chaotic lives and run–ins with the authorities as amusing as they did. That was twenty years ago, the mood seems very different now.

I was thinking about them when reading/listening to David Cameron’s latest speech http://www.conservatives.com/tile.do?def=news.story.page&obj_id=136423&speeches=1. I think this is an important speech and well worth reading, but I was left puzzled as to what it means in practice. For example, when he speaks of pain: for whom and how. How would his policy alter the families in the Observer article? I don’t see how reducing state involvement will change these families; surely they will just carry on.

Or, is he saying abstrusely, what Melanie Phillips is saying openly in the Daily Mail? For this iron lady, these people are the enemy within, and need a few smacks. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/columnists/columnists.html?in_article_id=450789&in_page_id=1772&in_author_id=256&expand=true#StartComments Withdraw benefits and tighten the leash? I really don’t see this as the road to more pleasant society.

2 Blog on Blog

Yes, I know, you can tell when news agencies are running out of ideas when the reporters start interviewing each other. So, a story about blogs in a blog seems to be going in the wrong direction. http://education.guardian.co.uk/egweekly/story/0,,2058253,00.html However, I think there is a potential and relevance in these accounts of the fine grained experience of practioners that could be of real use to The Brightside Trust. It is an easy way to begin to understand what shapes the outlooks of people who we need to understand better. Perhaps we should find practitioner bloggers for all those areas of interest to us.

I had a look at the sites listed in the Guardian article. In terms of the day-to-day experience of teaching, I felt that ‘it’s your time you’re wasting’ (note the address begins with i, not an L which it looks like in the article) http://iytywnm.blogspot.com and mildly melancholy were the best http://mildlymelancholy.blogspot.com. Mildly melancholy is USA based. Mr Hood science teacher at http://mrhood.co.uk/tite has some good detail about science teaching. From my point of view, OneMoreBigAdventure and The Teacher were disappointingly. They seem to spend very little time recording their views and experiences of teaching; rather they give us a broader account of their lives and views about the world; interesting, but not what I’m after. Frank Chalk, http://frankchalk.blogspot.com , is no longer teaching, so his comment are about education policy, as seen by a former trooper, rather than a record of ongoing experience. However, his account of being a new teacher in a difficult school, in his first book, is very good http://www.amazon.co.uk/Its-Your-Time-Youre-Wasting/dp/0955285402/ref=pd_bbs_sr_1/026-7549495-4502836?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1176803449&sr=8-1 So, if you’re interested in science, follow Mr Hood and if you want to get a feel of the day-to-day experience of UK schools try http://iytywnm.blogspot.com and http://mildlymelancholy.blogspot.com . Maybe we should buy Frank Chalk’s book for the library, it’s not much fun, but it might help people understand the reality of working in a disadvantaged and failing school. If anyone comes across a good experiential blog, in any area, please let me know.

3 The art of schmoozing

This particular article seems to be about getting another job; and as for the copious amounts of free alcohol, I’ve definitely been going to the wrong events. I must admit I’m naturally a more ‘I’ll leave you alone if you’ll leave me alone’ kind of a person. Any thoughts on this: tips or tricks? Does schmoozing ever yield anything? http://jobsadvice.guardian.co.uk/officehours/story/0,,2063143,00.html

4 Mentoring Works!

I just thought you should know.
http://education.independent.co.uk/news/article2486627.ece
I hadn’t come across IntoUniversity – website http://www.intouniversity.org . I guess they are new, has anyone had any contact with these people.

5 The age of the volunteer

Cameron backs it; Brown cannot see enough of it: volunteering. http://education.independent.co.uk/higher/article2484536.ece But is there really a wide pool of potential volunteers out there just waiting to be asked? How do we fit in with this fashionable turn?

Monday, 16 April 2007

1 Make Poverty History

Last week, the Department of Work and Pensions (DWP) launched a major anti-poverty policy initiative called ‘Working for Children’ http://www.dwp.gov.uk/publications/dwp/2007/childpoverty/childpoverty.pdf . This builds on the announcements made in the Budget to take a further 200,000 children out of poverty by increasing tax credits and providing wider support for parents. 'Working for Children' refocuses £150 million of resources within the Department for Work and Pensions towards greater support for families.
The proposals include:
Piloting a 'New Deal for Families' approach so more families get access to support that is often only available for lone parents. This will include extending the support available in the New Deal for Lone Parents Plus pilot areas to all families with children in those areas.
Extending the New Deal for Lone Parents Plus scheme and increasing obligations on lone parents with older children to look for work. This proposal dominated news media discussion, which focused on the appropriateness of encouraging single parents to seek work once their youngest child reaches 12.
Providing more support to families, particularly in London, by including widening and improving the in-work credit scheme which provides additional financial support for lone parents as they make the transition to work.
Providing advice and support for the partners of parents claiming Jobseekers Allowance, with the introduction of mandatory six-monthly work-focused interviews for this group.

These proposals build on the analysis of poverty carried out last year by Lisa Harker in her report for the DWP called, “Delivering on Child Poverty: what it would take”
http://www.official-documents.gov.uk/document/cm69/6951/6951.pdf and the more recent, Freud Report, “Reducing dependency, increasing opportunity; options for the future of welfare to work.” http://www.dwp.gov.uk/publications/dwp/2007/welfarereview.pdf .

The government remains convinced that getting people into work is their best route out of poverty. This week, I’ve heard numerous government ministers reaffirm their commitment to halving child poverty by 2010. If you want to understand the government’s strategy, I’d say read Harker, Freud and ‘Working for Children’ and you will know as much as anyone.

2 Child’s Play

Toddlers who spend three or more days a week in nursery are more likely to become anti-social, worried and upset, government research has found” was just one of the bylines generated last week by a report reviewing nursery care. Research into the effects of non-parental child care seems to fire more furious debate than any other issue in the UK today http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/education/6525039.stm . The full report can be found at http://www.dfes.gov.uk/research/data/uploadfiles/SSU2007FR020.pdf

Be aware, these people have a track record of being critical of nursery care http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/4304528.stm . This report fed straight into middle England’s fear that society is falling apart because of bad child rearing practices. For example, see the great picture and story in the Express http://www.express.co.uk/news/view/3636 . I felt that the Guardian article by Madeline Bunting tried to discuss the results more profitably http://society.guardian.co.uk/children/comment/0,,2049652,00.html

I also think it’s worth perusing the unprecedented 40 pages of reader comments that followed this article. It illustrates both the range of views and intensity of feelings that this issue generates. Personally, I don’t like the argument that if children become a bit more pushy and thick-skinned by the experience of nursery then that is no bad thing in the modern world. That is not an attractive vision.

3 Vital Statistics

Social Trends is an unrivalled source of UK social facts. It is produced every year by the Office of National Statistics (ONS) but the analytical focus of the publication is altered for each edition. This year’s study is especially relevant to The Brightside Trust, as its focus is ‘The changing lives of today’s children’. In what I regard as a genuine example of democratic, open government, the report can be viewed and/or downloaded from the ONS website for free. Hardcopy versions are available at £45; it must have been tempting to charge for the electronic version as well. For a quick summary see the press release http://www.statistics.gov.uk/pdfdir/st0407.pdf

What seemed to catch news agencies attention was the increase in the numbers of young people, especially men, living at home with their parents for longer http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/main.jhtml?xml=/opinion/2007/04/12/do1203.xml&DCMP=EMC-new_12042007 . There are rumours of an extreme form of this phenomena emerging in the Berkhamstead area. The publication of Social Trends is also a time to reflect on known, but significant, medium term developments, such as in this article from BBC http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/6542031.stm

Something that caught my attention was public attitudes to vocational education

Table 3.17 page 36

Attitudes to vocational qualifications,1 2005

Great Britain

Percentages

Agree2

Neither agree

nor disagree

Disagree3

Only people who can’t do

academic qualifications

should do vocational ones

20

17

63

Vocational qualifications are easier than academic qualifications

29

24

47

Most people don’t understand what vocational qualifications are

60

21

20

Employers don’t respect

vocational qualifications

enough

54

24

21

Schools should do more to

encourage young people to do vocational qualifications

74

19

7

Taking these attitudes to vocational qualifications together, it would appear that the British people are very positive about vocational education and qualifications. It seems to me, that this popular mood could be fertile ground for the new diploma courses if they are rigorously promoted.

Overall, Social Trends is a dense catalogue of 225 glorious pages of facts about UK society.

There are too many headings to do it justice here, why not take a look at http://www.statistics.gov.uk/downloads/theme_social/Social_Trends37/Social_Trends_37.pdf . If ever you need a social fact about the UK, visit this document first. I am placing a copy in the library; it deserves a box of its own.

4 The Panopticon

Article from the Guardian about training centres for problem families http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk_news/story/0,,2054827,00.html . Retraining centres for ‘neighbours from hell’ are slowly being established all across the country. This phenomenon has largely gone unnoticed and undiscussed, but like ASBOs, will soon become part of the landscape for disadvantaged communities around the country. The linking of family retraining to them retaining their housing tenancy is punitive, but maybe that is the level of leverage required. Will it work? What would work mean? – any views?

5 The Prince and the Paupers

Last week saw the launch of a major report into youth disadvantage and social exclusion by the Prince’s Trust, entitled ‘The cost of exclusion’ http://www.princes-trust.org.uk/main%20site%20v2/downloads/Cost%20of%20Exclusion%20apr07.pdf . The authors have gone out of their way to calculate the loss to the economy and the extra costs to society when people opt out of the workforce and behave in antisocial ways. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/04/10/nyouth10.xml . In truth, I found this report something of a disappointment, as I’m not sure these calculations add much to the debate. Yes, it would be good if these people were active contributors to society, but they’re not, and all the evidence suggests that simply offering them a ‘hand up’, a break, isn’t enough. Some of these people are a real pain in the arse if you are unlucky enough to live near them. This report left me asking ‘but what is to be done?’ However, if you want the most recent and authoritative analysis of youth disadvantage then this is the place to go.

Monday, 2 April 2007

1 Raising the Education Leaving Age

The major education event of the past fortnight was the publication of a government green paper putting forward the proposal that all young people will be required to remain in education or training until their 18th birthday. I thought the press response to this announcement was low-key and largely focused on the narrow point of how to enforce the attendance of the disengaged. For a quick synopsis I recommend the executive summary as a better guide http://www.dfes.gov.uk/consultations/downloadableDocs/6965-DfES-Raising%20Expectations%20Green%20Paper.pdf . Consultation on the green paper is open until the 16th of June. Do we have anything to say?

2 Poverty of Ambition?

When it comes to alleviating poverty, the blows to the government’s plans seem to just keep coming. Last week saw the announcement of a rise in child poverty at a time when it was supposed to be falling rapidly http://www.ft.com/cms/s/272983e8-dd92-11db-8d42-000b5df10621.html . Separately, another report highlighted the low birth weight and higher infant mortality of the children born in disadvantaged households http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/health/6496253.stm. Some in government are now very gloomy about achieving major reductions in the levels of child poverty, let alone eliminating it by 2020. The feeling is that there is no chance of raising significant revenue by further tax increases and that too few single parents are showing signs of wanting to enter the workforce. Any views or ideas? I’m sure Gordon is listening.

3 Head Honcho

The Guardian carried an extended interview with Peter Lampl, founder and leader of the Sutton Trust, http://education.guardian.co.uk/schools/story/0,,2043290,00.html . The Brightside Trust could be seen as aspiring to become a similar organisation. However, I think we are already evolving in a slightly different way; and, to continue the Darwinian theme, we will not be competing for the same feeding grounds.

Peter Lampl is one of those people who regrets the closure, in most areas of the UK, of the state grammar school system. He links this change to the reduction of social mobility seen in the UK in recent years because, although the grammar schools were mostly populated with middle class pupils, they did provide a stretching academic education for those brighter working class students who passed the 11+ exam. These students then went on to become socially mobile. He worries that the apparently more egalitarian comprehensive school system, which replaced the old system, merely sentences brighter socially disadvantaged pupils to languish in low quality schools where their talents are not drawn out.

As Sir Peter says in the interview "I totally agree that the bottom 40% are a bigger problem. But I can't do everything, I've got to specialise.’ Although Bright Journals, with its medical school aspirations for very bright socially disadvantaged students, might seem similar to a Sutton Trust type of initiative, I think that in our more recent ventures we are beginning to reorient towards that bottom 40%.

This process of target selection involves defining priorities, and this is in part linked to hard questions about a vision of a good society. I think Sir Peter is clear on this, he is a genuine meritocrat: he sees a good society as being one where people’s social mobility is decided by an individual’s talent and work, not by inherited or structural privilege. However, the Sutton Trust adopts a strategic orientation to facilitate this admirable aspiration, it focuses on the most talented; I don’t think The Brightside Trust should follow this lead. I think we can make a significant contribution by targeting those disadvantaged students who are perhaps not marked out for greatness, but given half a chance, could make a perfectly good contribution to a future society. Is this how you see it?

4 Sunderland Digital Challenge

The Brightside Trust is one of the partners in the recently successful digital challenge bid for Sunderland; see this article from the Guardian for a description of what this will mean http://society.guardian.co.uk/e-public/story/0,,2038428,00.html. I think it is worth noting how the program is to be driven by community involvement and demand. Although we are only specifically committed to delivering an e-mentoring project in a local school, I think the fluidity of the approach means that we could reasonably suggest other projects and initiatives and see if they find a favourable response. Have a look, any ideas?

5 He lives in your basement!

Well, perhaps not so much your basement, as the ground floor at number 1 London Bridge. The Guardian carried this interview with The Children’s Commissioner for England http://education.guardian.co.uk/egweekly/story/0,,2037469,00.html. I think he makes a number of interesting points. We really ought to try to get to know him and his people. Maybe we could solicit an invite to their re-branding event?

Friday, 16 March 2007

1 The most important education reform of our time

According to Ken Boston, Chief Executive of the UK’s Qualifications and Curriculum Authority,‘the creation of the specialised Diplomas is the most ambitious and important educational reform currently being undertaken anywhere in the world.’ April 2006
So, when last Friday, the Secretary of State for Education, said that the introduction of the new diplomas "could go horribly wrong” alarm bells should be ringing http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/education/6435563.stm . Especially as the Secretary of State’s comments come at a time when concern has been expressed by some of those responsible for developing and rolling out the diploma programs http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/education/6234063.stm . They need to be worried: if the 14-19 diplomas are not a success, then there is little chance that any of the government’s learning and skills aspirations can be achieved. It would also be a disaster for its widening participation into higher education strategy. Indeed, it would damage the government’s whole anti-poverty strategy, as this is dependent on creating a high skilled workforce, in a high wage, high skill economy. There is also a specific link between improving life chances for disadvantage students and vocational education; a failure of the vocational would primarily be a blow to the disadvantaged.
On the basis of a few ‘off the record’ conversations, I’m worried that too many people in the education system are just waiting for this train to hit the buffers. This is wrong, this initiative is too important. I think that just as the Sutton Trust bangs on about private schools all the time, we should be banging on about these diplomas. For example, a key question for the future of Bright Journals is will the Russell group universities treat the diplomas as equivalent to top grade A levels? How many UCAS points will an advanced diploma be worth? These questions need clear answers now. Obfuscation at this time will mean that those who have any sort of choice will stick with the traditional qualifications.
The Brightside Trust could also focus on the way the health diplomas are being run and seek to improve their operation. There is still time; but the history of education in the UK has repeatedly shown that if vocational based qualifications are not seen to of high value, and that means at least as valuable as traditional qualifications, then they are doomed to be seen as second best.

2 There is an elephant in the room and it isn’t Charles Clarke

I was interested to see that ex-ministers Charles Clarke and Alan Milburn had launched a website. It was, they said, to facilitate discussion as to how the government could renew itself. I thought it interesting that launching a website is now the modern thing to do in politics; in the old days it would have been a manifesto, or a political program, or at the very least, a rant in some cold drafty room http://www.the2020vision.org.uk/index.php/pages/have-your-say/the-2020-vision However, when I viewed the site I was struck by the first sentence of their mission statement

‘Politics is about the future not the past.’

Why begin with this ridiculous remark? - Especially from these two. As you all know, I’m not one to gossip, but I can remember when Milburn was part of a collective, running a bookshop called ‘days of hope’, known locally as ‘haze of dope’ – his politics at that stage was overtly based on historical materialist analyses. Clarke lived in Cuba for a while, in order to be part of history. As young men, both of these chaps would have been very insistent, that those who do not learn from history are doomed to repeat its mistakes. So, when did history become bunk?
Well, some might say, not me you understand, that if you had the ministerial records of these two, then you wouldn’t want to look too closely at history either. For example, Charles Clarke, according to his successor, failed to notice that the Home Office wasn’t fit for purpose. Also, when education secretary, he castrated the proposals for 14-19 educational reform contained in the Tomlinson report by committing the government to keeping GCSEs and A levels http://education.guardian.co.uk/1419education/story/0,15147,1330607,00.html . This piece of surgery has left the present secretary of state worried about the future prospects for the 14-19 diplomas (see above). However, I think the problem goes beyond an evaluation of the ministerial competence of these two politicians.

I think these two have the same problem as other government supporters, such as Anthony Giddens, who seek renewal http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/story/0,,2034138,00.html Their problem is that according to the Moses of new Labour, Phillip Gould; the first commandment of winning elections is thou shalt not be seen by middle England to be divided. So, how can it be possible for a modern political party to conduct an honest audit? Wouldn’t the passion, self criticism and disorder that any such exercise would inevitably entail, be seen as division. The new Labour answer is to maintain unity by agreeing that everything the government has done has been a complete success - everything has worked wonderfully, no mistakes, no failures - so looking back is pointless and unproductive. Why are there still problems? It can only be that the world has changed and this has presented us with new challenges.

This will not do. In my opinion, the government has indeed fashioned some major successes, for example, the massive reduction in unemployment, the sure start program, the upcoming raising of the educational leaving age to 18, all truly historic. However, there are other stories, the PFI deals, the failure of housing policy, increasing inequality and decreasing social mobility.
Unfortunately, it’s even more complicated than recognising good and poor outcomes. It’s not just a matter of what worked, it’s also about what might have worked better, what might have worked differently, what were the alternatives?

So, what chance a fearless debate? - Fat chance.

However, without a truly critical reappraisal, then the goal of renewal is not possible. The elephants of new Labour’s creation are in the room, they must be seen, spoken of, and come to terms with. I’ll go further; if the likes of Milburn and Clarke, living in their eternal rose-tinted present, really are allowed to drive policy, then the importance of looking back will soon become apparent, as ‘history repeats itself, first as tragedy, then as farce.’

3 i-spark

i-spark is a social networking site described as "MySpace for engineers and scientists". It's backed by the Engineering and Technology Board, Altran and the Guardian. Will this catch on? http://www.i-spark.org/ would you visit?

4 The motives of volunteers

Does it matter if people have ulterior motives for volunteering? An article in the Guardian explored this question http://society.guardian.co.uk/voluntary/story/0,,2024273,00.html what do you think? Also, on the volunteering front, a new volunteering website for 16 to 25 year olds has been launched. This is part of the Gordon Brown’s community service scheme which hopes to recruit a million volunteers.
http://society.guardian.co.uk/voluntary/news/0,,2034917,00.html Is this a place for us to recruit? http://www.vinspired.com

5 Welfare Reform

There continues to be much debate about the numbers of people of working age in the UK who are dependent on benefits and not working. While no leading UK politician’s are, as yet, publicly discussing the merits of the changes pushed through in the USA by President Clinton, I know they are privately very impressed. I confidently predict that if the recent Freud report recommendations, for the Department of Work and Pensions, do not produce the desired results, then a future Conservative or Labour government will move to reform benefits, American style. I thought the following article from the Sunday Times waltzed quite nicely through the changes and debate in the USA.

From The Sunday Times
March 04, 2007
How America tried to cut single parents the welfare way
Did Bill Clinton find a way to aid family life? It’s complicated, says Tony Allen-Mills
When America marked the 10th anniversary of former President Bill Clinton’s sweeping welfare reforms of 1996, there was an improbable reaction in right-wing Republican circles. Conservatives who normally regard anyone named Clinton as an agent of Satan were to be found huddled in Washington corridors, admitting that maybe their arch-nemesis had done something right.
The president who had boldly promised “to end welfare as we know it” turned out to have done exactly that. It took a comparatively liberal Democratic president to achieve what right-wing ideologues had been opining about for years — a fundamental shift in welfare policy that forced millions of dole-seekers to work.
Despite dire warnings that families would starve and children die in the streets, Clinton pushed through a reform package that imposed strict limits on benefit entitlements and deadlines for recipients to begin fending for themselves.
The results, at first glance, appear staggering. There had been no significant decline in the number of American welfare cases for almost half a century, yet within five years, caseloads had dropped at least 60%. In some states that introduced extensive back-to-work programmes, dole queues were cut by up to 80%.
Yet before anyone in Britain leaps to conclude that what worked for Clinton would work for new Labour, meet Vivyan Adair, a former welfare recipient who got on her bike, took a university degree and became an assistant professor at Hamilton College in upstate New York.
“If the goal of welfare reform was to get people off the welfare rolls, bravo,” said Adair. “If the goal was to reduce poverty and give people economic and job stability, it was not a success.”
Through the blizzard of statistics that descends on any debate about politicians and social engineering, there is one that stands out in the continuing controversy over the impact of Clinton’s reforms.
Having identified single-parent families as the biggest drain on welfare funds, Clinton set out to promote the traditional nuclear family as the surest economic safeguard against poverty. His reforms abolished automatic cash grants for single mothers and effectively forced them to work at least part-time.
Yet a federal study by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention last year showed that despite many different measures to prevent unplanned pregnancies and to promote family life, out-of-wedlock births have reached a record high.
Almost 40% of children born in America are now born to single mothers, compared to 33% before Clinton’s reforms. For the first time in US history, married couples have become a minority, accounting for only 49.7% of US households.
Both right and left have seized on these figures as evidence in a continuing dispute over how much poverty really exists in America, and to what extent government policies are aggravating or relieving it.
The debate is complicated by ethnic, racial and geographic issues — 68% of black children are born out of wedlock. The only thing that seems clear is that America’s welfare revolution cannot yet be declared an enviable success.
In one respect Clinton helped usher in a genuine transformation. Teenagers of all races are having fewer babies. Despite an overall increase in single-parent families, the unmarried teen birthrate has fallen to its lowest level since the late 1980s.
Various groups have claimed credit for the trend, from liberals promoting contra-ception to evangelical Christians who have launched chastity campaigns. Clinton’s admirers also claim that his crackdown on welfare made young women realise they would not be able to rely on government handouts if they became pregnant.
Yet just as teenagers were changing their lives, the birth rate for single women in their twenties and thirties began to rise. Older women who remain unmarried are increasingly deciding to have children on their own. Different kinds of economic pressures then emerge as these women struggle to balance their children and their jobs.
“The chief goal of Clinton’s 1996 statute, as revealed by its preamble, was to reverse the decades-long decline in the nuclear family,” said Professor Amy Wax of the University of Pennsylvania law school. “If judged by this objective, welfare reform has been an abysmal failure.”
Wax argues that requiring single mothers to work has done little to discourage single-motherhood and obliges state governments to prop up one-parent families in different ways — with tax credits or food, health and other benefits. “The possibility of economic self-sufficiency has been mugged by reality,” said Wax.
Further clouding the welfare issue are new claims that the number of American families living in severe poverty reached its highest level for more than 30 years in 2005. A study last month of the recently released 2005 census statistics found that nearly 16m Americans were classified as severely poor, up 26% from 2000.
The study by the McClatchy newspaper group defined “severely” poor as individuals earning less than $5,080 (£2,610) a year and families of four with an annual income of $9,903 — half the official poverty line.
Several experts claimed these statistics reflected the creation of a permanent underclass. Conservative researchers say the statistics were not reliable as many poor people underreport their incomes.
Arloc Sherman, a senior researcher at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, a liberal think tank, offered a different interpretation. “What you see in the data are more and more single moms with children, who lose their jobs and who aren’t being caught by a safety net,” he said.